Hello everyone,
This will be my last posting on this site. There are a few reasons for this. First, my schedule has been pretty hectic and I haven't been able to get to all of the articles that I feel you should know about. That has bothered me a lot. It make me feel guilty! Second, this obviously takes a lot of time, and it means time away from the family. Last, I believed for quite some time now that everything was finished. I was told this a while back before I started this blog. Since that time, I've written about quite a few news articles.
Much of what I've seen either made no sense or seemed like old news rehashed. When I say the articles didn't make sense, I don't mean that I didn't understand them. Rather, something just didn't seem right. Simply put. The news seemed made up. Today's news about Maliki meeting with the 3 security ministers was somewhat of the tipping point for me.
I think that news is GREAT on the one hand because we're really close to them actually admitting the GOI is done. On the other hand, being told that everything is done by a reliable source and reading and writing about these made up articles doesn't seem right because I don't believe the articles.
I've enjoyed helping those who benefited from the time I've spent on this site, and I've really enjoyed exchanging messages with some of you have emailed me. This has been a great experience in the short time it lasted. However, the better half of me just can't write another entry on articles that really aren't leading us to the truth. This is not to say that 100% of the articles are incorrect or false. But, it's my belief that enough are false such that we can't piece things together accurately enough to bring this home.
If you don't believe that, look at the best analysts there are out there. There are many. Each one of them has been wrong at one time or another. Every "RV must happen marker" has been wrong. It's not that they are bad analysts. In my opinion, it's just that we're given a very small amount of hidden and obscure truths and a lot of untruths. The net effect is that it makes it impossible for anyone to use articles to piece the puzzle together and get it right. Of course, the "Iraq factor" makes a liar out of the best of the analysts/gurus!
Given that, I'm left with just waiting for the moment! This journey has a positive end. I just don't know when it will end. But, when it does happen, I'll be happy that you all were patient and smart enough to wait this out so that you get to benefit from your investment. Of course, I'll be happy with my investment too! Be smart with your money and enjoy it for the rest of your lives! Lastly, don't forget that it is better to give than it is to receive!
Take care,
Justwaitingforit
Friday, March 4, 2011
3-4-11 Recap of the day's events/postings
Facts:
Rumors:
Of Interest (rumors that I find of particular interest either because of who said it or because of how I think it relates to what is happening right now):
The Rest (doesn’t mean these are not happening):
1. None
Where Are We At?
1. Another scattered news day! The only theme we have is related to the protests. So I’ll start there. Hundreds of citizens in Baghdad were protesting poor services and demanding the elimination of corruption. Toops sealed off the scurity of all ports of entry and exit to the areas surrounding the green zone, and Baghdad Operations Command imposed a curfew on cars, motorcycles, and bicycles from midnight until further notice. It was reported they were expecting massive demonstration and that curfews were put in place in other provinces. No acts of violence or riots were reported at the end of the demonstrations. However, 45 Arab companies decided not to participate in the Erbil Internation Expo due to the unrest in the Kurdistan region
2. Iraq’s oil minister said that Iraq aimed to explort more than 2.2 million bpd in March and that they are building new facilities for exporting oil that will allow them to export an additional 1.8 million bpd
3. Nujaifi discussed with Kuwait’s Amabassador the relations between the two countries and the works of the Joint Committee formed to settle the outstanding issues. They also discussed Nujaifi’s upcomming visit to Kuwait
4. Concering Article 140, it was reported the plan for the disbursement of compensation to the entrants and deportees is in the 2011 budget. A commission on the implementation of 140 was informed of the progress and performance. They decided to pay compensation to farmers who had their contracts canceled, and they formed a committee for the purpose of preparing controls about how to include divorced and widowed women
5. In government formation news, the List said they are looking for a replacement for Allawi for the presidency of the National Council. He said the List is keen on the formation of this Council to undertake correcting past mistakes, whether at the level of the government or parliament. It was reported today that Allawi led an elaborate scheme designed to remove Maliki from power. The plan was reported as being supported by the US, Britain, Saudis, and in coordination with many media leaders and members of the army and other security agencies. The plan detailed how they would coordinate the demonstrations across the cities and what the demonstrators would do. The plan expected that Maliki and others would be killed during the demonstrations held on the 25th. It was reported that Maliki became aware of the plot and contacted Sadr, who then told his followers not to participate in the demonstrations. The plan’s first attempt was thwarted, but there are many plans for settling accounts with Maliki. The plans include a military coup
6. Today, it was reported that Maliki met with the three ministers of security
7. A deputy from the National Alliance said the Council of Representatives decided not to discuss the law of the National Council and 3 oil laws due to the conditions on the street. Instead, they discussed the reasons for its upcomming events
8. Concerning rumors, Night feels we will either hear bout the 3 security ministries being filled this weekend, or Maliki will be removed by force, if necessary. He said that Maliki is on his own now and does not have US support given that he did not follow through on the Barzani agreements. In other rumor news, someone reported on the status of the votes for the security ministers. 2 of the 3 were approved
What’s left?
1. Vote on the budget – Done!
2. Closure on Security positions (3 in total)
3. Formal announcement of government
4. Agreement on outstanding Kuwait issues (I believe this is done)
5. Lifting of remaining Chapter 7 sanctions (Kuwait related)
6. RV/RI
7. HCL
Important Dates
1. February 17 – GCC Meeting (no news of this yet)
2. February 20 – Vote on the budget – Done!
3. February (sometime after the budget is voted on) – Parliament votes on the National Council of Supreme policies
4. February 25 -- Large demonstration
6. March 1 – Budget becomes effective retro to 1/1/2011
7. March 5 – Maliki may hand over the 3 security ministry candidates and Parliament may vote on them
8. May 1 – CBI must have transfer DFI monies
9. May 15 – Arab Summit
10. May 22 – Presidential order 13303 expires
11. June 30 – DFI expires
What’s It All Mean?
1. In government formation news, it appears that the List will move forward with filling the presidency of the National Council. While the news of Allawi’s plan to remove Maliki from power was surprising and interesting, it’s a single data point as far as I’m concerned for now. I’m not suggesting that it can’t be real, but I’m choosing to wait for more evidence that it is true. That said, there was news today from two members of the List. One said that it is too early for a vote of no confidence for Maliki. The other said just the opposite. This combined with the pressure from Allawi’s recent moves to activate agreements with Sadr and Hakim definitely puts pressure on him to perform. Maliki will also continue to be pressed by the weekly demonstrations
2. In other news, we continue to see Iraq working on Article 140 and the outstanding issues concerning Kuwait. These are important issues that need to be resolved. That said, this is not to mean that they must be resolved prior to the RV
3. Concerning the news of Maliki meeting with the 3 security ministers, how is that possible? On 2/13, it was reported that Parliament voted on 8 ministers. However, it was reported that the 3 security ministers were not voted on and that Maliki has been the acting minister for the 3 security ministries. Nothing has changed since that was reported on the news, which means that Maliki should still be the acting minister for the 3 security ministries. But, he met with the 3 security ministries today. How? I can only think of one way. They were selected already. Now, is it possible that Parliament is just now getting around to voting on them? Maybe, but one thing is certain, if he did meet with them today, they have to be in the positions. This also means we’re real close to being done with the government formation! But, this also means they have not been giving us the truth in the news….for a while. That’s actually not surprising. After all, we were told they finished the GOI at 12:30 on 2/2. Don’t remember? Read here The same person who said this also said recently that Maliki will stay on as the PM for the full term, the US is backing him, and that we should see the RV in the middle of this month. Crossing my fingers!
3-4-11 Muqtada al-Sadr frustrates Allawi plot to topple al-Maliki?
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Well informed sources, documents, and unequivocal evidence of the existence of an elaborate scheme lead by Allawi, supported by the US and Britain, Saudi, and in coordination with many media leaders and member of the army and other security agencies have been developing a plan in London during the various meetings attended by many of the parties
2. The plan was designed to complete the anger of the masses and rally the people so that they would be angry and resentful of the lack of services during the demonstrations on the 25th of February
3. The article describes how the demonstrations would be coordinated in such a way that some of them would provoke clashes with security forces
4. It was agreed with the groups that the center of the demonstrators would withdraw from Tahrir to the top of the bridge of the Republic and then penetrate the bridge
5. Another would then control the masses in a peaceful way to buy time until the afternoon of that day
6. The first evening of large groups of conspirators would kindle fire in all public places and markets to create terror and penetrate the green zone
7. The were to burn the Council of Ministers and the occupation of embassies, destroy and burn the Baghdad Provincial Council and seize the radio stations
8. They were then to announce the fall of the Maliki government and the formation of an emergency government and attribute the invitation of Allawi to form the Government of National Salvation to the US
9. They expected that Maliki and several officials would be killed by military and security leaders loyal to Allawi
10. Maliki was aware of this plot
11. The article talks about Allawi's previous failed attempts at executing the plan
12. Maliki's efforts to pay the security authorities to contain the protests by dispersing them thwarted some of the schemes
13. But what foiled the plot in full is the success of Maliki's agreement with Sadr to take a position
14. Maliki sent a private jet to Iran and offered him schemes, evidence, documents, and copies of the maps that were distributed to groups
15. When Sadr returned, he told his followers not to adopt the demonstration and postpone it after 6 months and only by popular referendum in the fight against corruption and public service
16. The article states the first episode was thwarted but it may not end because there are so many plans for settling accounts with Maliki
17. They talk about seizing power from Maliki through military coup
Maliki's broadened powers seen as a threat
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Well informed sources, documents, and unequivocal evidence of the existence of an elaborate scheme lead by Allawi, supported by the US and Britain, Saudi, and in coordination with many media leaders and member of the army and other security agencies have been developing a plan in London during the various meetings attended by many of the parties
2. The plan was designed to complete the anger of the masses and rally the people so that they would be angry and resentful of the lack of services during the demonstrations on the 25th of February
3. The article describes how the demonstrations would be coordinated in such a way that some of them would provoke clashes with security forces
4. It was agreed with the groups that the center of the demonstrators would withdraw from Tahrir to the top of the bridge of the Republic and then penetrate the bridge
5. Another would then control the masses in a peaceful way to buy time until the afternoon of that day
6. The first evening of large groups of conspirators would kindle fire in all public places and markets to create terror and penetrate the green zone
7. The were to burn the Council of Ministers and the occupation of embassies, destroy and burn the Baghdad Provincial Council and seize the radio stations
8. They were then to announce the fall of the Maliki government and the formation of an emergency government and attribute the invitation of Allawi to form the Government of National Salvation to the US
9. They expected that Maliki and several officials would be killed by military and security leaders loyal to Allawi
10. Maliki was aware of this plot
11. The article talks about Allawi's previous failed attempts at executing the plan
12. Maliki's efforts to pay the security authorities to contain the protests by dispersing them thwarted some of the schemes
13. But what foiled the plot in full is the success of Maliki's agreement with Sadr to take a position
14. Maliki sent a private jet to Iran and offered him schemes, evidence, documents, and copies of the maps that were distributed to groups
15. When Sadr returned, he told his followers not to adopt the demonstration and postpone it after 6 months and only by popular referendum in the fight against corruption and public service
16. The article states the first episode was thwarted but it may not end because there are so many plans for settling accounts with Maliki
17. They talk about seizing power from Maliki through military coup
Maliki's broadened powers seen as a threat
3-4-11 Maliki heads a security meeting
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Maliki headed an urgent meeting with the 3 security ministries: interior; defense; national security
2. They discussed the implications of today's events in terms of security
3. It wasn't revealed what mechanism may be employed to overcome the mistakes of the security forces in dealing with the demonstrations last Friday, and it was said those mistakes would not be repeated
4. Baghdad Operations Command announced a ban on vehicles roaming
This article says Maliki is the acting minister for the 3 security positions
What 3 security ministers?! Did he meet with himself? Did he set up 3 mirrors? Or, were those ministries done back in February as someone suggested?
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Maliki headed an urgent meeting with the 3 security ministries: interior; defense; national security
2. They discussed the implications of today's events in terms of security
3. It wasn't revealed what mechanism may be employed to overcome the mistakes of the security forces in dealing with the demonstrations last Friday, and it was said those mistakes would not be repeated
4. Baghdad Operations Command announced a ban on vehicles roaming
This article says Maliki is the acting minister for the 3 security positions
What 3 security ministers?! Did he meet with himself? Did he set up 3 mirrors? Or, were those ministries done back in February as someone suggested?
3-4-11 i parliament will discuss the causes of events in its upcoming session
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on TCN
1. A deputy of the National Alliance said that the Council of Representatives will discuss the reason for its upcoming events
2. He said they were supposed to discuss the law of the National Council and 3 oil laws, but the conditions on the street and demonstrations made the Council suspend those discussions
3. The remainder of the article provides an historical perspective on the government and their responses to the demonstrations
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on TCN
1. A deputy of the National Alliance said that the Council of Representatives will discuss the reason for its upcoming events
2. He said they were supposed to discuss the law of the National Council and 3 oil laws, but the conditions on the street and demonstrations made the Council suspend those discussions
3. The remainder of the article provides an historical perspective on the government and their responses to the demonstrations
3-4-11 45 Arab companies withdrew from Erbil expo fearing turmoil
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on
1. The general director for Erbil international expos said that due to the unrest in the Kurdistan region, Iraq, and the Arab world 45 Arab companies withdrew from the fourth International Exhibition for the Construction Industry in Erbil
2. The expo is currently underway in the Kurdistan Region
3. 50 companies registered
4. 5 decided to stay while the other 45 opted out
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on
1. The general director for Erbil international expos said that due to the unrest in the Kurdistan region, Iraq, and the Arab world 45 Arab companies withdrew from the fourth International Exhibition for the Construction Industry in Erbil
2. The expo is currently underway in the Kurdistan Region
3. 50 companies registered
4. 5 decided to stay while the other 45 opted out
3-4-11 The end of the Friday demonstrations in Baghdad
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. The demonstrations in Baghdad ended after the protesters delivered their demands
2. They demonstrators called on the government to disclose the money spent on the ration card
3. They demanded better services and provision of ration card items, elimination rampant corruption in the joints of the state, and sacking of the governor of Baghdad and the President of the provincial council
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. The demonstrations in Baghdad ended after the protesters delivered their demands
2. They demonstrators called on the government to disclose the money spent on the ration card
3. They demanded better services and provision of ration card items, elimination rampant corruption in the joints of the state, and sacking of the governor of Baghdad and the President of the provincial council
3-4-11 Washington Post: Protesters say Maliki is using special security forces to shut down demonstrations in
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Iraqi protesters are seeking to reform a democratically elected government, not topple an autocrat
2. But protesters, human rights workers, and security officials say Maliki has responded to Iraq's demonstrations with force
3. Witnesses in Baghdad and as far north as Kirkuk described watching last week as security forces attacked protesters, rounded up others from cafes and hamoes, and hauled them off blindfolded to army detention centers
4. Entire neighborhoods--primarily Sunni areas where residents are generally opposed to Maliki, where blockaded to prevent residents from joining the demonstrations, and journalists were beaten
5. A human rights activist said by someone that Maliki is starting to act like Saddam Hussein by using fear against those who criticize him
6. He said the US must feel embarrassed right now. They promised a modern and democratic state, but in reality?
7. The US officials issued a statement saying they were deeply troubled about Maliki's response to the demonstrations
8. Maliki has been criticized for showing an authoritarian streak, in particular for maintaining a shadow security force outside the regular chains of command. He strongly denies this
9. Maliki denied detaining any protesters, apart from four jounalist who were beaten and released
10. He said the violence would be investigated and blamed some of it on the journalist, former members of Saddam, and al-Qaeda operatives
11. Those who were targeted say Maliki is increasingly using special security forces to punish critics and political opponents
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Iraqi protesters are seeking to reform a democratically elected government, not topple an autocrat
2. But protesters, human rights workers, and security officials say Maliki has responded to Iraq's demonstrations with force
3. Witnesses in Baghdad and as far north as Kirkuk described watching last week as security forces attacked protesters, rounded up others from cafes and hamoes, and hauled them off blindfolded to army detention centers
4. Entire neighborhoods--primarily Sunni areas where residents are generally opposed to Maliki, where blockaded to prevent residents from joining the demonstrations, and journalists were beaten
5. A human rights activist said by someone that Maliki is starting to act like Saddam Hussein by using fear against those who criticize him
6. He said the US must feel embarrassed right now. They promised a modern and democratic state, but in reality?
7. The US officials issued a statement saying they were deeply troubled about Maliki's response to the demonstrations
8. Maliki has been criticized for showing an authoritarian streak, in particular for maintaining a shadow security force outside the regular chains of command. He strongly denies this
9. Maliki denied detaining any protesters, apart from four jounalist who were beaten and released
10. He said the violence would be investigated and blamed some of it on the journalist, former members of Saddam, and al-Qaeda operatives
11. Those who were targeted say Maliki is increasingly using special security forces to punish critics and political opponents
3-4-11 Skype chat: Status of security ministries
Highlights/Thoughts
PLEASE IGNORE IF YOU DO NOT WANT TO READ RUMORS
1. 1 person is seated for sure
2. Another is in the hot seat
3. The other hasn't gotten his turn yet
4. No one like the person in the hot seat except for Maliki
5. Parliament will break until the afternoon
Update:
1. The number 2 person is agreed on
*************************************************************************
Ok 2 calls in 2 calls back...my peeps are saying 100% 1 fore shure is seated.....one other is in the hot seat said he is being beat down like a card on a bicicle wheel...the other hasent got his turn yet....guess nobody likes him except M..wonder y.... o and ther slowing down ther tired little boys.....dude said that some are falling asleep wile there sitting there..he said it was said that if they got this guy seated they were gona break till the aftrenoon evening there today...there day...... My understanding is VOTED on....be back in a bit got to feed my self....
Update:
Ok here goes ...just in!!!!!!the number 2 is AGREED on and they taking a sleepy time..and gona seat when thy get back together..in the evening. ...that's what I got for now.... With info I'm given abot thing to transpier this weekend...I'm gona stick my neck out there and say.....wensday or Thursday afternoon here....leaning mor tword Thursday...because of the hours thing with the cbi needing to be shut down after the rv... so we know s has his " paper work" in to the world bank.we know atleast 1 is seatedfor shure 2 aproved to be seated later this afternoon there time we now M head is on the choping block.A has back up because he is a sissy...and he " steped down"..lolyea right...acording to my peeps.....id say depending on the protest. It will be intersting .....to see wat hapends my peeps say its not gona be good...
PLEASE IGNORE IF YOU DO NOT WANT TO READ RUMORS
1. 1 person is seated for sure
2. Another is in the hot seat
3. The other hasn't gotten his turn yet
4. No one like the person in the hot seat except for Maliki
5. Parliament will break until the afternoon
Update:
1. The number 2 person is agreed on
*************************************************************************
Ok 2 calls in 2 calls back...my peeps are saying 100% 1 fore shure is seated.....one other is in the hot seat said he is being beat down like a card on a bicicle wheel...the other hasent got his turn yet....guess nobody likes him except M..wonder y.... o and ther slowing down ther tired little boys.....dude said that some are falling asleep wile there sitting there..he said it was said that if they got this guy seated they were gona break till the aftrenoon evening there today...there day...... My understanding is VOTED on....be back in a bit got to feed my self....
Update:
Ok here goes ...just in!!!!!!the number 2 is AGREED on and they taking a sleepy time..and gona seat when thy get back together..in the evening. ...that's what I got for now.... With info I'm given abot thing to transpier this weekend...I'm gona stick my neck out there and say.....wensday or Thursday afternoon here....leaning mor tword Thursday...because of the hours thing with the cbi needing to be shut down after the rv... so we know s has his " paper work" in to the world bank.we know atleast 1 is seatedfor shure 2 aproved to be seated later this afternoon there time we now M head is on the choping block.A has back up because he is a sissy...and he " steped down"..lolyea right...acording to my peeps.....id say depending on the protest. It will be intersting .....to see wat hapends my peeps say its not gona be good...
3-4-11 Nighthk11 11:20pm 3/3/11 Chat
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on DV (membership required)
1. Night thinks that we will see Iraq calling for Maliki's dismissal
2. He sees them lining up to challenge him once and for all and will likely have Parliament behind them to get rid of him
3. We should hear something about the last position being filled
4. If we do not, he will be removed by force of arms
5. Night does not think that with all the prep that has been done this will cause a delay in the RV
6. If Maliki names the last ministers, they might keep him until he does something else
7. Night doesn't feel they can go another week without the RV given what has come out
8. Sadr, Hakim, and Allawi are planning much larger organized demonstrations now
9. They will be country-wide and there are also threats of shutting down oil production among other issues...so Maliki is really in a corner
10. The RV will be good for them and allow the three to get their stuff together
11. What is being said by Barzani, Allawi, Sadr, and Hakim is that Maliki lied and had no intention of adhering to the agreement and they are tired of his mess
12. The Kurds put the troops there around Kirkuk for a reason--may have something to do with security or they know what the three are planning
13. However their internal issues play out, there will be an RV
14. The troops in Kirkuk may have something to do with Art 140, which Maliki agreed to but has done nothing yet to see it done as promised
15. He believes that with the demonstrations taking place and those planned it will be enough for him to understand he must act
16. Maliki has been given too many chances and now it appears to be over with their patience of him
17. Night is looking for concrete action this week to finalize the government
18. From what he reads and sees, actions are being done to support Allawi, Sadr, and Hakim in their quest to dislodge Maliki from power
19. Parliament may just vote no confidence in his government
20. Night said there was some talk today about the US backing Maliki
21. His info states that Maliki is on his own after the mess with Kuwait and not adhering to the Barzani initiative, which Maliki signed
22. That initiative was approved by the US, UNSC, and the Secretary General
23. Maliki's agenda (most likely from Iran) has backfired
24. Allawi stepped out of the presidency of the National Council position to free himself up to become the PM, should they dismiss Maliki
25. The treasury and justice department are still in Iraq and will remain there until after the RV
26. Night considers the group that Allawi formed an alliance with very powerful because they have the backing of the people
27. Maliki is buying time with the RV
28. Night believes that they realize he will never keep his word and so they will get rid of him
29. The stage is being set for the showdown at Parliament
30. Allawi is backed by the Sunni's, the Emir of Kuwait, and the King of Saudi, who are all Sunnis
31. If the security position is not filled this weekend, they will ask for a vote next week
32. Sadr and Hakim are organizing and calling for huge demonstrations in all cities in the 18 provinces including the Kurd territory
33. They are also threatening to shut down all government facilities and mostly OIL PRODUCTION
34. The call for a vote will be instituted by a bloc within parliament. Then they will vote. If there is 2/3rd majority, Maliki will be done. 2/3rd is needed because he is the head of governemnt
35. Night was told that even Maliki's Dawa party are not happy with him as he has been found to be lying to them--most notably about his "escape plans"
36. If Allawi and his new group stir up the people enough, Parliament will not be able to ignore their calls for his removal
37. Even if Maliki RVs, it will likely not stop the calls for his removal
38. If Maliki is forced to step down, Talabani will have no choice except to give the nod to the next largest bloc, which will be the List headed by Allawi and he will form within 48 hours
39. Allawi cannot head the council and the PM
40. Right now, Night sees Allawi's move as pressure to get Maliki to fulfill his agreements and get things going
41. The 100 days is not 100 ... the DFI protection runs out in June and will not be extended
42. All in the GOI will not be replaced. The GOI is already formed but not complete
43. There are alternatives to replace those who leave or are dismissed
44. Due to the time factor we are seeing it is either make or break for Iraq
45. Religion is paramount in Iraq. Remember, Iran is a theocracy led by the Mullah's and Sadr aspires to take Sistani's place as the primary cleric in Iraq...another theocracy?
46. Night sees no other reason for Sadr's return and immediately stirring up trouble with Maliki as his focus. He thinks Iran has decided they cannot do what they want
47. Hakim also has strong ties to Iran
48. Things have gotten hot for Maliki and Night can see the RV....nothing else will buy Maliki time
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on DV (membership required)
1. Night thinks that we will see Iraq calling for Maliki's dismissal
2. He sees them lining up to challenge him once and for all and will likely have Parliament behind them to get rid of him
3. We should hear something about the last position being filled
4. If we do not, he will be removed by force of arms
5. Night does not think that with all the prep that has been done this will cause a delay in the RV
6. If Maliki names the last ministers, they might keep him until he does something else
7. Night doesn't feel they can go another week without the RV given what has come out
8. Sadr, Hakim, and Allawi are planning much larger organized demonstrations now
9. They will be country-wide and there are also threats of shutting down oil production among other issues...so Maliki is really in a corner
10. The RV will be good for them and allow the three to get their stuff together
11. What is being said by Barzani, Allawi, Sadr, and Hakim is that Maliki lied and had no intention of adhering to the agreement and they are tired of his mess
12. The Kurds put the troops there around Kirkuk for a reason--may have something to do with security or they know what the three are planning
13. However their internal issues play out, there will be an RV
14. The troops in Kirkuk may have something to do with Art 140, which Maliki agreed to but has done nothing yet to see it done as promised
15. He believes that with the demonstrations taking place and those planned it will be enough for him to understand he must act
16. Maliki has been given too many chances and now it appears to be over with their patience of him
17. Night is looking for concrete action this week to finalize the government
18. From what he reads and sees, actions are being done to support Allawi, Sadr, and Hakim in their quest to dislodge Maliki from power
19. Parliament may just vote no confidence in his government
20. Night said there was some talk today about the US backing Maliki
21. His info states that Maliki is on his own after the mess with Kuwait and not adhering to the Barzani initiative, which Maliki signed
22. That initiative was approved by the US, UNSC, and the Secretary General
23. Maliki's agenda (most likely from Iran) has backfired
24. Allawi stepped out of the presidency of the National Council position to free himself up to become the PM, should they dismiss Maliki
25. The treasury and justice department are still in Iraq and will remain there until after the RV
26. Night considers the group that Allawi formed an alliance with very powerful because they have the backing of the people
27. Maliki is buying time with the RV
28. Night believes that they realize he will never keep his word and so they will get rid of him
29. The stage is being set for the showdown at Parliament
30. Allawi is backed by the Sunni's, the Emir of Kuwait, and the King of Saudi, who are all Sunnis
31. If the security position is not filled this weekend, they will ask for a vote next week
32. Sadr and Hakim are organizing and calling for huge demonstrations in all cities in the 18 provinces including the Kurd territory
33. They are also threatening to shut down all government facilities and mostly OIL PRODUCTION
34. The call for a vote will be instituted by a bloc within parliament. Then they will vote. If there is 2/3rd majority, Maliki will be done. 2/3rd is needed because he is the head of governemnt
35. Night was told that even Maliki's Dawa party are not happy with him as he has been found to be lying to them--most notably about his "escape plans"
36. If Allawi and his new group stir up the people enough, Parliament will not be able to ignore their calls for his removal
37. Even if Maliki RVs, it will likely not stop the calls for his removal
38. If Maliki is forced to step down, Talabani will have no choice except to give the nod to the next largest bloc, which will be the List headed by Allawi and he will form within 48 hours
39. Allawi cannot head the council and the PM
40. Right now, Night sees Allawi's move as pressure to get Maliki to fulfill his agreements and get things going
41. The 100 days is not 100 ... the DFI protection runs out in June and will not be extended
42. All in the GOI will not be replaced. The GOI is already formed but not complete
43. There are alternatives to replace those who leave or are dismissed
44. Due to the time factor we are seeing it is either make or break for Iraq
45. Religion is paramount in Iraq. Remember, Iran is a theocracy led by the Mullah's and Sadr aspires to take Sistani's place as the primary cleric in Iraq...another theocracy?
46. Night sees no other reason for Sadr's return and immediately stirring up trouble with Maliki as his focus. He thinks Iran has decided they cannot do what they want
47. Hakim also has strong ties to Iran
48. Things have gotten hot for Maliki and Night can see the RV....nothing else will buy Maliki time
3-4-11 Vice in Iraq: We look for a replacement for Allawi to head the Strategic Council
Highlights/Thoughts
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1. An MP for the List said they will list a person to choose a replacement for Allawi for the presidency of the National Council for strategic policies
2. He said they agreed on the composition and nature of the work, the structure, and its role in the political process under the Barzani initiatives
3. He added that the List is keen on the formation of this Council to undertake correcting past mistakes, whether at the level of government or parliament
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. An MP for the List said they will list a person to choose a replacement for Allawi for the presidency of the National Council for strategic policies
2. He said they agreed on the composition and nature of the work, the structure, and its role in the political process under the Barzani initiatives
3. He added that the List is keen on the formation of this Council to undertake correcting past mistakes, whether at the level of government or parliament
3-4-11 Commission on the implementation of Article 140:: a plan for the disbursement of compensation to the entrants and deportees in the budget year 2
Highlights/Thoughts
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1. A plan for the disbursement of compensation to the entrants and deportees is in the budget for 2011
2. The formation of a committee for the purpose of the preparation of special controls on how the inclusion of divorced women and widowed will be the decisions of the Commission
3. The Commission on the Implementation of Article 140 informed of the progress and performance of their offices and the Committee decided to conduct a visit to the offices to review the flaws in their work and the obstacles they face
4. The Committee discussed the topics on the agenda and took the necessary recommendations
5. They decided to pay compensation to farmers who had their contracts canceled under the decision of the Commission and the Commission's budget for the year 2011
6. The Committee also developed a plan for the disbursement of compensation to entrants and deportees in the 2011 budget and in all offices
7. They formed a committee for the purpose of preparing controls about how to include divorced and widowed women
8. The Commission also decided to form an ad hoc committee in Diwaniyah to cancel agricultural contracts covered by item 2 of the Resolution No. 7 of the Committee in all provinces in central and southern Iraq
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. A plan for the disbursement of compensation to the entrants and deportees is in the budget for 2011
2. The formation of a committee for the purpose of the preparation of special controls on how the inclusion of divorced women and widowed will be the decisions of the Commission
3. The Commission on the Implementation of Article 140 informed of the progress and performance of their offices and the Committee decided to conduct a visit to the offices to review the flaws in their work and the obstacles they face
4. The Committee discussed the topics on the agenda and took the necessary recommendations
5. They decided to pay compensation to farmers who had their contracts canceled under the decision of the Commission and the Commission's budget for the year 2011
6. The Committee also developed a plan for the disbursement of compensation to entrants and deportees in the 2011 budget and in all offices
7. They formed a committee for the purpose of preparing controls about how to include divorced and widowed women
8. The Commission also decided to form an ad hoc committee in Diwaniyah to cancel agricultural contracts covered by item 2 of the Resolution No. 7 of the Committee in all provinces in central and southern Iraq
3-4-11 Nijaifi, Kuwait’s Ambassador discuss Joint Committee’s work, outstanding issues
Highlights/Thoughts
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1. Nujaifi discussed with Kuwait's Ambassador to discuss the relations between the two countries and the works of the Joint Committee formed to settle outstanding issues as well as the ongoing preparations for Nujaifi's upcoming visit to Kuwait, which was postponed because of events in Iraq
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1. Nujaifi discussed with Kuwait's Ambassador to discuss the relations between the two countries and the works of the Joint Committee formed to settle outstanding issues as well as the ongoing preparations for Nujaifi's upcoming visit to Kuwait, which was postponed because of events in Iraq
3-4-11 Hundreds demonstrate in Tahrir Square in central Baghdad to protest the government’s actions
Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on TCN
1. Hundreds of citizens in Baghdad protested against poor services and demanded the elimination of corruption
2. They chanted slogans against the action taken by the Iraqi government to meet the demands of previous demonstrations
3. Baghdad Operations Command announced yesterday a curfew on cars, motorcycles, and bicycles in the capital of Baghdad, starting from midnight until further notice
4. Troops sealed off the security of all ports of entry and exit to the areas surrounding the green zone
5. It is expected that today will see massive demonstrations to demand better services and standards of living
6. Security forces imposed a curfew in the provinces of Nineveh, Diyala, Kirkuk, Babil, and Salaheddin
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this posting on TCN
1. Hundreds of citizens in Baghdad protested against poor services and demanded the elimination of corruption
2. They chanted slogans against the action taken by the Iraqi government to meet the demands of previous demonstrations
3. Baghdad Operations Command announced yesterday a curfew on cars, motorcycles, and bicycles in the capital of Baghdad, starting from midnight until further notice
4. Troops sealed off the security of all ports of entry and exit to the areas surrounding the green zone
5. It is expected that today will see massive demonstrations to demand better services and standards of living
6. Security forces imposed a curfew in the provinces of Nineveh, Diyala, Kirkuk, Babil, and Salaheddin
3-4-11 Iraqi Oil Minister: OPEC could cover the shortfall in the production of Libya
Highlights/Thoughts
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1. Allabi said the current global oil prices are acceptable and do not affect the global economy
2. He said that there is a concern that Libyan oil exports are limited and OPEC has spare production capacity beyond what is produced by Libya
3. He added that he did not expect a significant increase in oil prices in two or three weeks ahead as Saudi Arabia can pump more oil to put a ceiling on prices when necessary
4. He said that Iraq aimed to export more than 2.2 million barrels per day in March and is building new facilities for export bye 1.8 million barrels a day
5. Exports from Iraq in February were 2.202 million barrels per day, which is up from 2.16 million bpd in January, which was the highest since 2003
Go Iraq!
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article
1. Allabi said the current global oil prices are acceptable and do not affect the global economy
2. He said that there is a concern that Libyan oil exports are limited and OPEC has spare production capacity beyond what is produced by Libya
3. He added that he did not expect a significant increase in oil prices in two or three weeks ahead as Saudi Arabia can pump more oil to put a ceiling on prices when necessary
4. He said that Iraq aimed to export more than 2.2 million barrels per day in March and is building new facilities for export bye 1.8 million barrels a day
5. Exports from Iraq in February were 2.202 million barrels per day, which is up from 2.16 million bpd in January, which was the highest since 2003
Go Iraq!
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