Sunday, January 30, 2011

1-30-11 Recap of the day's events/postings


This is a summary of the day’s events and postings.  You may notice that you do not see all articles and postings in my blog that you might find across all of the popular Dinar sites.  Instead, I do the work of looking for what is important and chucking what’s not relevant as well as eliminating the duplicate articles.  In the end, you should get news, information, and rumors that follow along the general trend line of what is being reported.  This page summarizes all the postings from the day into the major categories you see below.  Enjoy! 

Facts:
1.      CBI auction results

Rumors:
Of Interest (rumors that I find of particular interest either because of who said it or because of how I think it relates to what is happening right now):

The Rest (doesn’t mean these are not happening):
1.      None

Where Are We At?
1.      There was much news on the government formation today.  Parliament did meet today, and the agenda was to include discussions on the security breaches, the 2nd reading of the budget, and the independent bodies.  Also, the National Alliance was scheduled to meet this evening to discuss the Federal Court’s ruling.  The meeting was said to include Malki and his cabinet.  Parliament is scheduled to meet on Tuesday regarding the Federal Court’s decision.  In more news about the Federal Court ruling, the House and the Federal Court were in a special meeting to discuss the issues of the independent bodies.  It was said that that many in government reject the ruling, and most are saying that the decision will negatively impact the independent bodies.  However, it was also reported that Maliki is defending the ruling.  In addition it was reported that there is division within the National Alliance regarding Maliki’s independent action regarding the Federal Court’s ruling.  In regards to the open positions, once again it is being reported that Maliki and Allawi will be meeting within 24 hours to discuss the open ministry positions and the powers of the National Council.  Also, Allawi is saying that he will renege from all political agreements if there is not a vote in Parliament on the National Council for the strategic policy.  That said, Allawi requested that Barzani mediate between him and Maliki in order that they can reach final agreement on the formation of the National Council of the policies.
2.      Another low auction day with the CBI! 
3.      In terms of Iraq’s economy, the Iraqi Planning Ministry is forecasting a rate of economic growth of 47% by 2014.  The projected annual growth rate is estimated to be 9.38%.
4.      On the Egypt front, it was said today that the current situation in Egypt and escalations in surrounding countries might impact the start of the Arab Summit to be held in Baghdad.  Also, the Iraqis are watching this situation closely and are calling on their government to take notice of what is happening there.
5.      Today, we saw news of the CBI building a new CBI that will take up to 3 years to build and will cost up to $500 million.  I recall someone saying that the new CBI building was already built, but I believe that was a rumor.
6.      In news related to the release of Chapter 7, it was reported that the diplomatic ties between Kuwait and Iraq failed to reduce the compensation provided to Kuwait.  Also in related news, France said they are working hard on getting Iraq out of the remaining sanctions in Chapter 7.
7.      On the rumor front, once again we see a domestic bank rumor supporting all the other rumors about US banking activity.  Also, in regards to Scooter’s chat, it appears that his line of thinking is matching up with what Nighthk11 has been saying about the powers that be that are controlling the events in Iraq.

What’s left?
1.    Reading of the budget for the third time (this assumes the budget wasn’t approved and that the 2nd reading of the budget was successful).
2.    Closure on Security positions (5 in total) and the remaining unfilled positions (4)
3.    Formal announcement of government
4.    Agreement on outstanding Kuwait issues
5.    Lifting of remaining Chapter 7 sanctions (Kuwait related)
6.    RV/RI
7.    HCL

What’s It All Mean?
1.      The good news of the day is that Parliament met.  I have not yet seen the results of the 2nd reading of the budget, and I haven’t yet seen the results of the meetings to discuss the independent bodies.  So, at this time, the best I can say is that there were meetings that took place that reportedly had these items on the agenda.  Perhaps we’ll see definitive news on all meetings and outcomes tomorrow.  So far, it’s status quo.  We’re still not clear on whether the ministry positions were filled, there is no agreement between Maliki and Allawi on the National Council, the government officials are still speaking out against the Federal Court ruling, and the people of Iraq are carefully watching the events in Egypt unfold.
2.      A new CBI building that will cost nearly $500 million huh?  Now why in the world would the CBI need a new building, and one that cost $500 million or more?  Along the same lines, why would France focus on building stronger trade alliances with Iraq?  They are returning French companies to Iraq and have increased exports by 200%.  This is all positive news.  The CBI seems to want to be significant in a big way, and the news of increased trade activity between Iraq and France is just one example of what is happening regarding trade in Iraq.
3.      In regards to the Kuwait reparations and Chapter 7, we still haven’t yet seen the agreement needed to lift Iraq from the remaining sanctions in Chapter 7.  Today’s news was somewhat of a disappointment.  On a brighter note, however, it appears that the UN and France are involved in helping Iraq and Kuwait come to agreement on their outstanding issues.  Also, there is still the rumor out there that “all is done and there is nothing left to do except RV”.  I’ve heard this from a few that I trust.  I doubt I’ll ever know the truth, and I’m really not certain that I care.  An RV would make it great for everyone, and I’m positive I won’t be seeking the real truth afterward!





1-30-11 CBI auction results

Currency Auctions

Announcement No. (1824)

The latest daily currency auction was held in the Central Bank of Iraq on the 30-JAN-2011. The results were as follows:
Details Notes
Number of banks 9
Auction price selling dinar / US$ 1170
Auction price buying dinar / US$ -----
Amount sold at auction price (US$) 66,450,000
Amount purchased at Auction price (US$) -----
Total offers for buying (US$) 66,450,000
Total offers for selling (US$) -----
Exchange rates

Dollar's exchange rates / in Baghdad markets

1-30-11 Internationalist approach to resolve all outstanding issues between Iraq and Kuwait

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article on 1 Dinar

1. The French ambassador to Baghdad, Bwalun, said France is serious about re-integrating Iraq back into the International community
2. They are working to bring Iraq out of Chapter 7
3. He said that the UN is encouraged to resolve the outstanding issues between Kuwait and Iraq
4. Bwalun said the world needs a strong country in that region and Iraq can play a crucial role in balancing the region around it
5. Bwalun's work is focused on 3 major axes: 1) Strengthen the trust relationship between Iraq and France; 2) Strengthen the rule of law; 3) The return of French companies to Iraq
6. Exports between the two countries has increased 200% during the past 2 years
7. The volume of exports to Iraq in 2010 was $ 800 mil

1-30-11 Scooter Chat: Dinar Vets 1/30/11 11:45am

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this posting on DD

1. Found a couple of facts that they were unaware of
2. 3/31 is very very important date as a US citizen; it is the date we run out of funds
2. Congress must make a decision to extend and grow the debt, which requires serious laws
3. After 3/31, our credit rating is on the line, which is not good
4. RV prior to the Arab summit would create "marketing splash"
5. Iraq needs massive capital inflows before 6/30, when the DFI expires
6. Many don't realize how important the credit rating is. It would only take one ignition point and all heck would break loose
7. The USD could spiral out of control with nothing to back it
8. Our intake of revenues is completely unstable
9. The good news, in Scooter's opinion, is that it is coming sooner rather than later...anytime
10. The two most powerful men in the world just met in DC 3 days--maybe a week later
11. Why do you think the Federal Court decision was taken? There is a big reason, but Scooter will let the person who found the reason tell later
12. Egypt and Tunisia brings an element of uncertainty to Iraq in a good way
13. If this little project (referring to democracy in Iraq) work in Iraq, and there's significant uprising in nearby countries....just made Scooter wonder if the uprising was caused by the US
14. Parliament has in fact been meeting
15. Look carefully at the notes and you'll see 2 things have been moved out of the way to get this to happen sooner rather than later
16. (1) Have you noticed that there hasn't been any outrage from the US or UN over Maliki's move?
17. Big money wants this done now
18. They are moving forward with more GE equipment purchases
19. (2) Maliki took over the Electoral Commission
20. Scooter thinks Shabibi had the guts to do it, but couldn't move the roadblock out of the way

1-30-11 The House of Representatives would require members of the Federal Court to discuss the subject of independent bodies

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article

1. A member of the List said the House and the Federal Court were in a special session to discuss the independent bodies
2. The Federal Court's ruling on the independent bodies sparked a wave of rejection among most forces and political figures
3. Salim said that everyone agrees on the need to speed up the nomination of ministers and the security ministries because it would positive for the political reality
4. The article said it is scheduled to nominate candidates for the vacant ministries in the coming period

On 4 above, no specific date was given. :(

1-30-11 News about the division of the National Alliance separately because of Maliki’s power and claim to link independent bodies of the Cabinet

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article

1. Almnzawi of the National Alliance said that there is division in the National Alliance because of Maliki's independent action regarding the Federal Court and the independent bodies
2. There is a meeting taking place at present between the policy and cadres of the National Alliance to discuss the latest developments in the Iraq political arena
3. A source who asked not to be identified said connecting the independent bodies to Maliki is a mistake and would be dangerous for the independent bodies
4. al-Sghir also said that the decision would be dangerous for the independent bodies

1-30-11 Allawi, Maliki to meet within 24 hours

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article

1. The List said that Allawi and Maliki will meet to discuss the security ministries to complete the cabinet reshuffle, and the powers of the National Council
2. Spokesman for the Iraqi Shaker book said that Allawi and Maliki would meet in the next 24 hours to reach consensus on a on a unified vision for the formation of the National Council for policy strategy
3. He said the meeting will be important for resolving issues awaiting resolution of the political blocs and voting in the House

1-30-11 AFP: Iraq PM defends controversial court ruling

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of this article

1. Maliki defended the Federal Court ruling saying it was impossible to reverse the ruling
2. He said the court study the case very well prior to the ruling

1-30-11 Bank Rumor: Dinar Vets 1/29/11

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get the details of the posting on DD


1. Friend, who got this person in the investment 7 years ago, called to let him know his daughter was hired at Wells Fargo
2. She went through training on the De La Rue machine
3. She was hired specifically because WF is expecting a large influx of people coming in to exchange
4. WF would not have hired her if she owned Dinar
5. This was first hand information from the person writing this posting

1-30-11 Al-Mutlaq: The Political Struggles Behind the Lack of Resolution of the Vacant Ministries

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article on DD



1. The Iraqi deputy al-Mutlaq said the ongoing conflicts between the political blocs is the main reason for the delay to complete the remainder of the vacant ministries, especially security.
2. He further stated that the most of the political blocs put their own personal interest first before the national interests regarding the ministerial vacancies.

1-30-11 Iraq threatens to renege on political agreements if the law does not prescribe policy board

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. Allawi has threatened to remove himself from all political agreements in the formation of the government if the House of Representatives does not vote on the National Council for the strategic policy.
 

1-30-11 Iraq economic growth rate expected reach 47% by 2014

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details from Currency Newshound


1. The Iraqi Planning ministry stated that the rate of economic growth will reach to 47% by 2014.
2.  The spokesman of the ministry says that the annual economic growth rate to reach 9.38%, and the improvement will have a positive impact on the economic situation in the country and the level of general income of the Iraqi people. 
3.  The IMF stated earlier that the economic growth in Iraq was slower than expected during 2010 because the expected growth in oil production was not achieved.

1-30-11 Deputy: House begins the second reading of the current year’s federal budget

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details from Currency Newshound


1. After a 10 day holiday, Parliment is meeting today to for the second reading of the 2011 budget as well as discussing security related issues.
2. There is a need to review the security and regulatory work among military intelligence and security command due to administrative and financial corruption.

1-30-11 Conditions in Egypt will turn attention away from Baghdad summit MPs say

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details from Currency Newshound


1. Possibility that Egypt will not be able to attend the Arab Summit in Baghdad due to the current uprising in Egypt.
2. Current situation in Egypt and escalations in surrounding areas could influence the summit being held on time in March.

1-30-11 Kurdistan: Barzani, Allawi calls to mediate between him and al-Maliki

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. Allawi requests Barzani to meet with Allawi and Maliki to reach a final agreement on the formation of the National Council of the policies.
2.  Parliment is scheduled to meet today to discuss security, counter terrorism, and decision regarding the independent bodies by the SFC.

1-30-11 Parliament: Independent government bodies linked to abuse of the Constitution

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details from Currency Newshound


1. MP from Iraqi List, Muhammad Al-Khalidi, states that the linking of the independent bodies is a violation of the Iraqi Constitution.
2. There is great pressure on the blocks to name the remaining ministries, especially security, and the completion of the vote on the draft  policy the Supreme Council.

1-30-11 Governor of Baghdad: Central Bank of the new building will catch up with the European Bank

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. There are plans for construction of a new Central Bank of Iraq building in Jadriya.
2. The new building will be as large as the European Bank building.
3. New Central Bank of Iraq building will consist of 37 floors, take up to 3 yrs to build and with costs ranging up to $500 million.

1-30-11 Parliament Tuesday hosts a number of heads of independent bodies to discuss the decision

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. The House of Representatives will be hosting a meeting on Tuesday to discuss the Federal Courts decision.
2. The Council has call on the leaders of Baghdad, Diyala, the Middle Euphrates, and Salah al-Din to meet with the Security and Defense Committee within two weeks to provide a detailed report and reasons for recurrence of security incidents.

1-30-11 Source: National Alliance will hold a meeting this evening to discuss the linking of independent bodies the Council of Ministers

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. National Alliance will be meeting this evening to discuss the ruling of the Federal Court on the independent bodies
2. The meeting will include Maliki and the entire leadership of the alliance

1-30-11 Najaf declared Wednesday a public holiday on the occasion of the death of the Prophet and education half-year exams postponed

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. The Board of Najaf province declared Wednesday a public holiday on the occasion of the death of the Prophet Mohammad
2. This will affect all government institutions

1-30-11 Central Bank warns the real dangers awaiting the Iraqi money internationally

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. Saleh said that the danger lies in the expiration of international protection (DFI) on June 30th of this year
2. He said they must try to protect the $50 billion in reserves
3. He also said the money in the reserves is not government money.  It is there to cover the dinar
4. Saleh said that if the money were to belong to the federal government, then it would fall risk to creditors
5. The text in the constitution passed in 2005 states that the CBI is accountable to the House
6. The article stated that in the opinion of several quarters, the move was a reflection of Maliki's desire to take control of the independent bodies.  However, Maliki did not pay attention to the downside risks


The CBI is mainly concerned about how they will protect the money in the reserves after June 30th, when the Development Fund for Iraq expires.  As many articles have stated, foreign creditors could take their reserve fund via lawsuits.

1-30-11 AP: Iraqis watch Egypt unrest with sense of irony

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. Iraqi's, who are living in similar conditions to the Egyptians, called on their own government to take notice

1-30-11 Diplomatic Ties With Kuwait Did Not Succeed in Reducing Debt

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. A member of the Iraq Alliance said that diplomatic ties between Kuwait and Iraq failed to reduce the compensation provided to Kuwait


Remember, the UN said that Iraq and Kuwait must come to agreements on the Kuwait compensation issue before Iraq can fully get out of Chapter 7.  I also read an posting (rumor) where someone giving a speech told a student that Iraq is already fully out of Chapter 7.  So, this may be a mute point. 


Related article discussing $21 bil owed to Kuwait and outstanding issues

Rumor regarding Chapter 7 being lifted

1-30-11 The start of the parliamentary session under the chairmanship of the twenty-sixth Nujaifi and the presence of 250 deputies (2nd reading of the budget today)

Highlights/Thoughts
Click on the title of this posting to get to the details of this article


1. Parliament met for the 26th meeting 
2. The meeting will include a discussion on the security breaches, the 2nd reading of the budget, and other topics